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Of all the forecasts given from July 2017 to February 2019, we show in how many of them we were right. The article is divided in 5 parts: i) cryptocurrencies, ii) forex, iii) stock market, iv) FIFA World Cup, and v) Despacito. The credibility of the forecasts reached 90%.
Of all the forecasts given from July 2017 to February 2019, we show in how many of them we were right. The article is divided in 5 parts: i) cryptocurrencies, ii) forex, iii) stock market, iv) FIFA World Cup, and v) Despacito. The credibility of the forecasts reached 90%.
All these forecasts are registered in my Youtube channel. A summary of this article with some extra info appears in the following video:
1. Cryptocurrency market
The cryptocurrency (C) forecasts appear in the following videos:
The math behind the trading fees.
The first video was published on Oct. 31st, 2018 and the second one on Feb. 3rd, 2019. In the following table, we summarize the forecasts given for LTC, XRP, BTC, and GNO:
The results were:
These forecasts were fulfilled, then 4 checks, 0 mistakes.
2. Forex market
The forecast related to the forex market was focused on the USD/PEN currency exchange. This appears in the following video:
Make money exchanging currencies.
In summary, on Sep. 24th, 2018, we bought dollars at 3.32 PEN and forecast that the exchange rate would grow over time. This was the case, a month and a half later we made a profit of 25.40 PEN, then 1 check, 0 mistakes.
3. Stock market
The forecasts for the companies (C) that are listed on the stock exchange appear in the following videos:
Initial public offering of Avast.
The first video was published on Feb. 03rd, 2018 and corresponds to the forecast given for Renault. The second video was published on Apr. 20th, 2018, and corresponds to Avast. The third video, published on Jun. 13th, 2018, corresponds to Snapchat. Finally, the fourth video, published on Aug. 20th, 2018, corresponds to Netflix, Toei Animation, and Apple. These are summarized in the following table:
The results were:
These forecasts were fulfilled, then 6 checks, 0 mistakes.
4. The FIFA World Cup
The World Cup forecasts appear in the following videos:
Which teams reach the round of 16.
The ranking before the World Cup.
The algorithm of the group draw.
Peru qualifies for the World Cup.
Each forecast is related to a video (V). In the following table, we list these forecasts in chronological order:
The results were:
These forecasts were partially fulfilled, then 6 checks, 2 neutrals, 2 mistakes.
5. The Despacito song
The last forecasts are related to Despacito. They appear in the following videos:
Linear extrapolation with Despacito.
Integral calculus with Despacito.
In summary, using mathematics, we forecast that Despacito would reach the figure of 3 billion views on YouTube in Aug. 2017 and the figure of 5 billion views in Apr. 2018. These predictions were fulfilled. Despacito reached the figure of 3 billion on Aug. 4th, 2017 and the figure of 5 billion on April 4th, 2018; therefore, 2 checks, 0 mistakes.
Finally, adding all the results we have 17 checks, 2 neutrals and 2 mistakes. Correct predictions add one point, neutral ones add half a point, and mistaken ones add zero points; therefore, out of a total of 21 points, 18 points were obtained, giving a credibility of 86%. However, if we rule out neutral results, the probability rises to ~90%.
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